Safe High Yield Investments
Tue, 09 Mar 2010 09:19:31 +0000
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Choosing Dividend Stocks: Six Steps For Finding These Safe, High-Yield Investments
by Louis Basenese, Small Cap and Special Situations Expert
Friday, January 22, 2010: Issue #1181
The latest tally from famed professor, Jeremy Siegel – author of the investing classic, Stocks for the Long Run - proves that dividend stocks are still the best investment. Period.
Yet everyone still loves to dog them for being boring and slow growers.
Big mistake.
Let me prove to you just how profitable dividend stocks can be – and then show you how to find the safest, highest-yielding investments in this market.
How a 3.7% Gain Means An Extra $370,000
In his study, Professor Siegel sorted the S&P 500 stocks by dividend yield, dating back to 1957, and recorded the return of the top 100 dividend-yielders versus the bottom 100 for each year.
The result?
Investing in the top yielders delivered an annualized average return of 12.5%, compared to an average return of 8.8% for the lowest yielders.
Now, a 3.7% difference might not seem like much. But if you started with a $1,000 portfolio and reinvested all the dividends, it would be worth $450,000 today. That compares to only $80,000 without the extra 3.7% pop.
So if you’re serious about making money – and I suspect you are – dividend-paying stocks are essential to your portfolio.
But how do we go about finding safe, dividend-paying stocks in this market?
After all, companies keep slashing dividends by a record amount. From 2007 to 2009, total dividend payments slumped by $72 billion – the worst decline in over 50 years.
Six Steps to Finding the Best Dividend-Yielding Stocks
When looking for the best high-yield dividend stocks, the simple answer might sound a bit backwards: Don’t chase yield.
This is because a high yield typically indicates that there’s a higher risk of the dividend being cut or – even worse – being eliminated altogether.
Instead, focus on companies with the following six characteristics:
- Simple Business: The fewer moving parts, the fewer things that can go wrong, thus sapping cash intended for dividend payments. So focus on companies with businesses that you understand, rather than massive corporations that have dozens of (often puzzling) operating segments. That means shunning companies like General Electric (NYSE: GE) and its countless divisions, and instead going for companies like Philip Morris (NYSE: PM), which only does one thing and kicks back a $2.32 per share annual dividend (a 4.6% yield).
- Steady Demand: After identifying companies with simple business models, the next step is to verify that there is demand for the product(s). After all, a company needs a steady stream of cash, so it can afford to pay dividends to shareholders. Stick to industries or sectors with recession-proof or recession-resistant demand (food, alcohol, tobacco, healthcare, etc.)
- Cash Flow Positive: If a company isn’t generating cash each quarter, the only way to pay a dividend is by borrowing or tapping into cash reserves. Such practices aren’t sustainable over the long-term – and the dividend will eventually be cut.
- High Cash Balance: Speaking of cash… it’s still king. Especially when it comes to maintaining a dividend. Consider it insurance against any unexpected slowdowns. At a minimum, insist on enough cash to cover one quarter’s worth of dividends.
- Minimal Need for Credit: Securing credit in this market is extremely difficult. Accordingly, I recommend focusing on companies that don’t need to raise significant amounts of capital. That’s because when interest rates rise, so will their interest payments. I also suggest you look at companies with a reasonable, or low debt load. This ensures that interest payments won’t sap money intended for us.
- Earnings Buffer: Insist on a dividend payout ratio (annual dividends divided by annual net income) of 80% or less. This will provide ample wiggle room for the company to pay the dividend in the event of an unexpected slowdown. Or even better, to justify raising the dividend.
Three Profitable Dividend Stocks to Buy Now
After enjoying a hearty rebound in 2009, don’t be surprised if dividend investing starts attracting the herd in 2010. Many didn’t fully participate in the rally and now are undervalued, so they represent a safe way to invest in stocks.
Add in the fact that Treasuries still sport record-low yields and corporate bonds have already enjoyed a historic rally… and dividend stocks become even more attractive.
So I recommend that you front-run other investors. And the time to do that is now.
I’ve covered several suitable and safe dividend stocks in previous Investment U columns. In addition to Philip Morris that I mentioned a moment ago, you should also consider…
- Windstream Corp. (Nasdaq: WIN), which sports a $1 per share annual dividend (9.2% yield).
- Lorillard (NYSE: LO), which pays a hearty $4 per share annually (5.2% yield).
All three stocks remain attractive at current prices.
But that’s just an appetizer. If you want a consistent stream of dividend-yielding stocks, I use the six-step strategy above to unearth at least one safe, high-yield investment every month for Oxford Club members – all of which are capable of generating years and years of income and modest capital appreciation.
In fact, every single recommendation is profitable to date. That includes our special bond fund that also provides inflation protection.
Collectively, these dividend-yielders are generating a safe 7% income stream. Try matching that at your local bank.
Good (and safe) investing,
Louis Basenese
P.S: In the latest issue of The Oxford Club’s Communiqué, I recommended a company that has increased its dividend every year for 25 years. What’s more, it’s ridiculously undervalued at current prices – trading at a 40% discount to its historical average and a 51% discount to the average S&P 500 stock. The stock hasn’t been this cheap in over 20 years. But it won’t last long. To find out why, sign up for your risk-free trial membership to The Oxford Club.

March 7th, 2010 at 9:11 pm
I’d recommend using a risk tolerance calculator to get you a better idea of what your options are. Once you know your investment timeline, how much you are willing to lose, etc. then this will be an easier question to answer.
March 7th, 2010 at 9:39 pm
Your first option should be to fund fully a retirement account. If you do this, and you have extra cash, then one of the best things you can do is open a DRIP Plan.
Go to : low-cost-stock-recommendations
.com
They have a DRIP Section and it is free.
These powerful investment plans are seldom talked about because brokers make very little money when they suggest them. Yet, they have proven to be one of the best, if not the best, long-term strategy on Wall Street.
They are perfect for small investors, as well as big investors. They are safe and allow you to not care about whether the market is going up or down. They are a must for any serious investor.
I strongly recommend looking into it. They are great plans.
March 7th, 2010 at 9:53 pm
Personally, I’d fund a Roth account. $300 per month isn’t bad. If invested wisely, it can easily add up to $1 million with a 40 year time horizon. That’s not bad.
The investments you make in the account must adhere to your financial situation, risk tolerance, and age. If you are truly looking for income, I’d read about preferred stocks. You may also want to take a look at real estate investment trusts (count as part of your stocks or equity percentage). You may also want to take a look at good paying dividend stocks. So if you own 60% stocks, 19% real estate, 16% bonds (3% of which are high-yield or junk bonds) and 5% cash, I’d say you had an 82/13/5 portfolio as you own 82% stocks, 13% bonds, and 5% cash. Although high-yield bonds have “bonds” in their name, they trade more like stocks and can be riskier than stocks due to their poor credit quality. Under no circumstances would I ever hold more than 4-5% of your portfolio in high-yield or long-term bonds as they have significant risks; the former has a lot of default risk while the latter has a lot of interest rate risk. You might like these bonds and thus will develop a strategy that utilizes them; that’s not my opinion on what’s best to do. Sticking to high-quality stocks and bonds; stocks with a lot of cash on the balance sheet and being diversified by choosing broad-based index mutual funds or ETFs is probably the best way to invest. Something like VTI is a fantastic investment vehicle. This is despite the fact of the possible returns that leverage can help create.
You may want to utilize a balanced fund until you setup an emergency fund. I’d put $100 per month into the balanced fund and $200 per month towards the E-Fund. T Rowe Price allows you to invest with as little as $50 per month. I’d suggest going that route.
Once you have 6-12 months of an E-Fund, you are able to get more aggressive. Depending on your age and risk tolerance will depend on how much stock concentration you can have. Even a young individual that doesn’t have much tolerance for risk (i.e. 3 for risk tolerance on a scale of 1 to 10) should consider having a 20% bond portfolio and a 10% cash portfolio with a 70% equity holding.
March 7th, 2010 at 10:35 pm
High yield in what time frame? Are you talking about bonds or stocks or narcotics. If I were to answer your question in a literal sense I would say bet it all on number 6 on the roulette wheel. The question you are really asking I think is what can you invest your money in that offers an aggresive return with minimal to no chance of losing your investment. Based on this economy there are a few companys that I really love right now.1. Anheuser-Busch Symbol BUD NYSE2. PepsiCo Symbol PEP NYSE3. PFIZER Symbol PFE NYSE
March 7th, 2010 at 11:25 pm
Stay away of HYIP.
All Scam!
Try this,
No need to guess.
In fact, do Nothing!
http://automaticforextrading.blogspot.com/